a new questionnaire emerged this Friday morning, exactly one month after the incident. President of Colombia elected in the first round. photo of this example Gustavo Petro with 43.6 percent of the votes; Federico Gutierrez 26.7 percent; Rodolfo Hernandez, 13.9 percent; Y Sergio Fajardo6.5 percent.
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The survey was done by the company. invader for him audience, BluRadio Y television snail. Regarding the same survey that published its results on Feb. 22, the differences are as follows: historical pact it drops exactly one point, because on that occasion 44.6 citizens showed their intention to vote.
candidate team for colombia experienced tremendous growth. At that time, she received 8.7 percent of her voting intent. In other words, the intention to vote has tripled.
This Former mayor of Bucaramanga and the independent candidate remained, because at that time he received 13.1 percent.
Instead, there is a sharp decline in the candidate’s career, according to Invamer. Hope Center Coalition. Fajardo came in from 15 percent. It’s now in the double digits.
(You can read: ‘We’re talking’: Fajardo confirms approaches to Rodolfo Hernández)
The poll was published precisely at a time when contacts between Hernández and Fajardo were looking for an alliance with the intention of going to the second round.
According to the results of this photo, Petro and Gutiérrez would be the ones who will get this ticket for now and contest the presidency in the runoff on June 19th.
This Invamer survey matches the position of the top four places in the eight candidates’ election race with that of the National Counseling Centre, announced a few days ago by the National Counseling Centre. Week.
Accordingly, to the question of which candidate would you vote for if there were a presidential election this Sunday, 38 percent of the respondents said they would vote for Petro.
In the measurement known on March 31, this rate was 36.5 percent, and it was 32.1 percent in the measurement published on March 18. In other words, a trend is clearly visible in the Petro example.
Again, while Fico Gutiérrez was in the second place with 23.8 percent, this was 24.5 percent in the March 31 measurement and 23.2 percent in the first place.
According to the CNC results, Rodolfo Hernández is in third place with 9.6, followed by Sergio Fajardo with 7.2.
CNC appears below 1 percent in Ingrid Betancourt, John Milton Rodríguez, Luis Pérez, Enrique Gómez. Blank vote is 7.6 percent; Don’t know Doesn’t answer, 8.8 percent and not at all 2.1.
The survey says the following on the subject: a possible second round Between Gustavo Petro and Federico Gutiérrez, the candidate of the Historical Pact would receive 52.4 percent, and the former mayor of Medellin 45.2 percent.
Had the match been between Hernández and Petro, Petro would have had the advantage 56 percent, about 16 points above the Anti-Corruption Governors League candidate. The former mayor of Bucaramanga would own 40.6 percent.
In a hypothetical duel between Sergio Fajardo and Gustavo Petro, the leader of the Colombian Man won by 56.5 percent, compared to 40.4 percent of the former governor of Antioquia.
POLITICS
Contract media for this survey published the following Tech Sheet:
SURVEY COMPANY: INVAMER SAS
ORDERING REAL OR LEGAL PERSON: Noticias Caracol, Blu Radio and El Espectador.
FUNDING SOURCE: Noticias Caracol, Blu Radio and El Espectador.
OBJECTIVES:
❑ Know the intention to vote for the 2022 presidential election.
❑ Assess the mood of the country at the aggregate level and for each region, including urban and rural areas, and capital and non-capital municipalities.
Capitals.
❑ Measure the approval of the President and the image of people and institutions in Colombia.
❑ Identify what is the main problem Colombia is currently facing, according to public opinion.
❑ Learn about the public about current events.
❑ Observe the level of acceptance of people regarding certain laws, proposals or affirmations.
UNIVERSE:
Men and women aged 18 and over of all socioeconomic levels at the national level, with urban and rural coverage (except in what were previously called “National Regions”).
SAMPLING FRAMEWORK:
In the first stage of the sampling, the projections of the National Census to 2022 were determined by the municipalities. In the second stage, the planimetry of each of the towns
chosen. In the third phase, households from selected blocks and villages in each population. In the fourth and final stage, persons aged 18 and over residing in each household. This sampling frame covers 100% of the target group.
SAMPLE SIZE AND DISTRIBUTION:
2,000 questionnaires were carried out, distributed in the following municipalities: Almeida, Anserma, Apartado, Armenia, Arroyohondo, Barranquilla, Bello, Bogota, Bolivar,
Bucaramanga, Buenaventura, Cajicá, Caldas, Cali, Candelaria, Cartagena, Cartago, Cocorná, Concepción, Cúcuta, Curumaní, Dosquebradas, Duitama, El Bagre, El Retén, El
Zulia, Envigado, Espinal, Facatativá, Floridablanca, Fundación, Galapa, Garzón, Granada, Guasca, Ibagué, Ipiales, Lebrija, Los Córdobas, Los Palmitos, Maicao, Manizales,
Marinilla, Medellin, Medina, Mercaderes, Monteria, Muzo, Neiva, Ocaña, Palmira, Pasto, Peñol, Pereira, Piedecuesta, Popayán, Puerto Tejada, Purification, Quibdó,
Quimbaya, Roldanillo, San Andrés, San Andrés Sotavento, San Pedro De Urabá, Sandoná, Santa Marta, Sincelejo, Soacha, Soledad, Tesalia, Tierralta, Toribío, Tuluá, Tunja,
Turbaco, Pan American Union, Usiacurí, Valledupar, Villanueva, Villavicencio, Villeta, Yacuanquer and Zipaquirá. To fit the sample distribution to the true distribution
distribution of the universe by region and size, weighting factors were applied. This sample size is in line with the size of the offer.
SAMPLING SYSTEM:
Probability by stage: 1. Systematic random selection of 125 sample points across the country. 2. Systematic random selection
four blocks or pavements at each sample point. 3. Systematic random selection of four households per block or village. 4. Simple random selection
person 18 years of age or older residing in the household.
ERROR RANGE:
Margins of error within 95% confidence limits: +/- 2.19% for a total sample of 2,000 questionnaires; Bogotá +/- 5.15%, Northern Caribbean +/- 4.88%, Middle East +/- 4.53%, Antioquia/Coffee Region +/- 5.01% and South West +/- 5.01% ; for the total sample of men +/- 3.10% and women +/- 3.10%; +/- 5.60% for a total sample of 18 to 24 year olds, +/- 4.57% for 25 to 34 year olds, +/- 5.23 % for 35 to 44 year old +/ – 5.39% and 55 years and over +/- 4.16%; +/- 2.59% for total layer (1-2), layer (3) +/- 4.77% and layer (4, 5 and 6) +/- 8.14%; for the total sample of urban area +/- 2.45% and rural area +/- 4.92%; For the sample of metropolitan municipalities, it is +/- 3.16% and non-capital municipalities +/- 3.04%. For questions about the intention to vote for the Presidency, the margin of error at the total level is +/- 2.55%.
DATA COLLECTION TECHNIQUE:
Personal surveys at the respondent’s home via tablets and cards for voting intent questions.
DATA COLLECTION DATE: 21 – 27 April 2022.
NUMBER OF INTERVIEWERS: 78 interviewees participated in the study.
VERIFICATION METHOD: 100% of the surveys conducted were reviewed and 10% were audited.
APPLICABLE SUBJECTS: voting intentions, President’s approval, image of people and institutions in Colombia, main issue to be resolved in the country, adoption of existing laws, proposals or statements.
PERSONS OR ORGANIZATIONS FROM THE QUESTION: See the questionnaire.
SPECIAL QUESTIONS ASKED: see survey.
Source: Exame
I am Bret Jackson, a professional journalist and author for Gadget Onus, where I specialize in writing about the gaming industry. With over 6 years of experience in my field, I have built up an extensive portfolio that ranges from reviews to interviews with top figures within the industry. My work has been featured on various news sites, providing readers with insightful analysis regarding the current state of gaming culture.
