The market for high-capacity road freight transport in Russia will exceed 5 trillion rubles

The company’s analysts believe that after this year’s rapid growth, the industry will continue to grow at an average of 7.5% per year. Several factors are responsible for this market dynamic. This includes increasing the tractor fleet. In 2024, according to Kept’s forecasts, the target tractor fleet could grow to 707,000 by the end of the year (679,000 last year). By 2028, it could reach 808 thousand units.

Last year, up to 15% of the total tractor fleet was in captive fleets, which companies use to transport their own cargo. The dynamics of the tractor fleet, according to market participants, will be determined by the development of target sectors of the economy, the expansion of the captive fleet, the reduction of the load on the railway freight transport infrastructure and measures to optimize the efficiency of tractors; there is a shortage of drivers in this area.

Kept notes that the industry will receive a new round of development: tractor revenue will increase by about 4% annually. Last year, tariff rates in a number of key areas rose by more than 20%, driven by economic recovery, restructuring of logistics routes and rising costs.

In June, Russian companies experienced delays in the transportation of container cargo from China. The average waiting time for an empty container and a free space on a ship has increased to two weeks, and delivery times have increased by 36% to 50%.