It is very rare that the asteroid reaches more than Level 1 or 2 rounds of Turinaimed at classification Risk exposure objects close to the ground. Therefore, in recent months there has been a commotion with asteroid 2024Found in December last year. Soon after his conclusion, it was clear that in 2032 he would come close to our planet, that at the moment it rose to the 3rd level of the Turin scale. The probability of land exposure at the beginning was calculated about 1.2%. Nevertheless, with his last observations, NASA raised bets above 2%.
It is important to identify several questions before panic. On the one hand, the size of the asteroid is not so high as to cause a huge catastrophe in case of exposure to the Earth. Yes, in 1908 an explosion can occur, similar to that that occurred in Tunguska, Siberia. More than 2000 kilometers of forests were destroyed, but no one was wounded. If the disaster occurred in the populated area, it would be much larger. Fortunately, if 2024 will finally affect the populated area, all these people can be quite evacuated.
On the other hand, we must remember that the probability of exposure to the Earth increases, but can also reduce. Few asteroids that have reached the 4th level, the highest from this scale exists, They went down On the scale, when its trajectory was observed, reaching level 0. Since the date of possible influence of 2024 approaches its trajectory, it can rise closer to the ground, but also further. Too much time to provide something.
The probability of exposure to the Earth increases
Above, the new NASA calculations are the best news than we believe. This indicates that the American space agency has an asteroid of 2024. And this, and European Space Agency (ESA) They have objects for monitoring objects close to Earth (Neos), very effective.
In this case, monitoring led to an increase in the probability of exposure. From a little more than 1% to a little more than 2%. But it is also important to emphasize that the level on the scale of Turin This is still 3.
2024 is a relatively small asteroid
According to observations made so far, 2024. about 50 meters in diameterA field for obtaining an idea, given the size of its effect, it is calculated that asteroid ChicxulubWhich, perhaps, led to the disappearance of dinosaurs and a significant part of the living organisms, which at that time inhabited the Earth, had a diameter of 12 kilometers. We are talking about 50 meters before 12,000 meters.
The effect on the Earth of an asteroid of the size of 2024 will not be too dangerous. For this reason, although in the next few days we see a lot of headings on the possible influence of the Earth of this asteroid, at the moment You should not expect panic.
This maximum approach is planned to occur in December 2032. By that time, there may be mechanisms that will allow you to distract your career. If not, the population can be evacuated. But, first of all, we do not know if this will affect. We can be calm, knowing that There are many telescopes Following your trip to us. At the moment, it is all that matters.
Source: Hiper Textual
