In December 2024, it was discovered 2024Asteroid, who had astronomers in anticipation for several months. The first analysis of his career showed that The risk of Earth’s influence Pretty more than that of any other asteroid that would be discovered in recent years. In addition, since the data was improved, the risk increased. Yes, it is true that, as soon as it can be noticed more carefully, and the area of uncertainty was reduced, it was found that in fact it would pass by our planet. But there is still an insignificant risk The effect of asteroids with the moon.
Today it is believed that the probability of influence on the moon in 2032. 4 %. Experts called for peace, guaranteeing that the influence of the 2024 asteroid is not dangerous Neither for the moon, nor for us. Nevertheless, a group of NASA scientists recently showed concern about nearby companions.
And although the moon will not suffer from the effects of asteroid, it is true that it will release Cloud of garbage This may ultimately face some Artificial satellitesThe field even believes that this can affect large telescopes, such as James WebbThis is not the first time their mirrors will suffer from small damage from the effect Small meteors. Therefore, these scientists NASA propose to destroy 2024. None of the deviations, as was done with the DART mission. They want to radically eliminate the problem.
What will happen if the influence of the 2024 asteroid on the Moon occurs?
When the asteroid was discovered as 2024, the calculations of its trajectories are improved when the Earth approaches its orbital trip and increases data about it. For all this time there is something known as The zone of uncertaintyWhat corresponds to the area in which the effect of an asteroid can occur during a certain date. For several months, the Earth was within the framework of the uncertainty of this asteroid for December 2032. As the data increases, the uncertainty zone was reduced. Therefore, while the earth remained inside, the probability of the effects of asteroids grew. If there was less uncertainty, and the opportunity remained, I wanted to say that The collision was more likely.
Nevertheless, the time has come when the circle has narrowed much more, and our planet eventually left its interior. The moon, on the other hand, is still inside. Currently, the probability of exposure is 4 %. Therefore, many scientists are already studying what can happen to influence. This will not be a danger to the earth or for the moon. In fact, will leave another crater on the moonAlready quite marked by this type of shock. Although no one will ever control the same as 2024. For many scientists, this is good news. But others, as we have already advanced, They are concerned about artificial companions.
Object, Armageddon
The team of scientists sent Brent BarbieFrom the center of space flights, Godard NASA is studying what can be done to avoid the effects of this asteroid with the moon. According to them, to distract him, as was done in the Dart mission It would be necessary to have specific data on mass and composition 2024 with a sufficient amount of time to build an adequate ship. This is not yet possible. Therefore, they believe that this can be more useful for cutting for a healthy and destruction of an asteroid. Logically, this must be controlled destruction. If not, then fragments can be equally harmful to satellites.
It’s good that before the possible impact will be Another approach to Earth In which there is still no risk to the moon. It will be in 2028 and will be the perfect time to make much more calculations to prepare the Earth in case it is necessary. Currently, these scientists have published their forecasts in a study without reviewing, although they expect this review in another magazine. This is curious, since the only impact can be divided as the expectations of scientists. And it would cost a show if the satellites were really destroyed on the road? The debate serve.
Source: Hiper Textual
