The Russia Bank summed up the results of the monitoring of the business feeling of January and discovered that in 2025, most companies expect inflation twice, if not three times greater than what the Central Bank predicts, and many industries are preparing For another price jump due to tax increase, logistics costs and higher product storage costs.
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15 million companies participated in the study, according to Kommersant, which reviewed the results. Analysis shows that price increases in retail chains, in the construction sector and in service companies with intensive personnel (Horeca, fitness, etc.)
“In businesses that require a lot of personnel, we must not forget the salary aspect. First, taxes have increased and, secondly, there are many restrictions that will enter into force in 2025, ”says Anastasia Yusina, founder of the Orange Fitness and City Fitness gyms chains. “Therefore, we take into account in our business model an increase in costs of 15-17% compared to 2024”.
The president of Finn Flare, Ksenia Ryasova, points out that inflation “is not in the cost of a shirt or a smartphone”, but in the increase in transport costs (where the recycling rate is “connected”) and the storage of goods. Companies cannot influence these changes and, as a result, prices for final consumers increase.
At the same time, half of the business representatives, in principle, are not willing to make forecasts, since the policy of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is unpredictable, and last year demonstrated that there are no official forecasts, or for the exchange rates or for inflation, or for loans, nor for the official interest rate- became a reality.
Small and medium enterprises assume maximum risk in their planning. As the general director of the Yurvista company, the hotelier Alexey Petropolsky formulated succinctly: “Any company, small or medium, has a rule: we prepare for the worst, we expect the best.”
Author:
Ekaterina Alipova
Source: RB

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