IN December 2024 Asteroid was discovered whose trajectory can lead to Earth’s influence in 2032. He was baptized as 2024 And, of course, he immediately went through an intensive monitoring plan for both NASA and other space agencies. Initially, the risk of influence was 1.2%The field, however, this week there were new ads. Firstly, it exceeded 2% and after it was already higher than 3%. Now, less than 24 hours after this last announcement, NASA has made another one, which says that the percentage of risk fell again, especially to 1.5%.
This, in fact, is not so strange. In fact, this is what was expected. 2024 is in Level 3 scale of TurinIn which objects close to Earth are classified in accordance with their influence. Very few asteroids came there, and even less reached 4. Above 4 are not loaded, since the classification exists. One of the few who reached the level of 4 was ApophisAsteroid, the impact of which on Earth was planned for 2029. However, today it is already at 0, because as its trajectory is completed, the risk level has been reduced. Most astronomers believe that with a high probability of 2024.And the same thing will happen.
This is still a matter of probability. Currently, we cannot know exactly what will happen in December 2032, and at the moment, the asteroid is in the field Great uncertaintyThe field is why there are so many fluctuations in the calculations of probability. More. The Russian mountain has not yet been finished, so they should not surprise us with a few more descents and downloads.
What will happen if 2024 affects Earth?
It is estimated that the asteroid of 2024 approximately with a diameter of 40 to 90 meters. This is not enough to cause a massive catacling or extinction. Nevertheless, it is believed that this can cause great damage to the city if it affects the populated area.
The last asteroid of these measurements that fell to the ground was the one that called in 1908 The explosion of TunguskaThe field is actually a little more, with a diameter of 100 to 200 meters. Hit one Siberia is uninhabited zoneThus, the damage consisted of thousands of kilometers of destroyed forest. If this happened in the city, the consequences would be terrible, since at that time the asteroid trajectory could not be predicted, as it is now.
If 2024 will begin to clash with earthly scientists, calculated their trajectory as it approaches and knew Approximate place of exposureSo that the evacuation can be used if the region is populated.
In any case, now all this is nothing more than assumptions. The positive part of the Russian mountain, in which the asteroid is immersed, is that this means that there are many scientists with eyes. In fact, next month the strongest “eyes” that are in space today will be introduced: James Webba Space TelescopeIf there was something to be afraid of the field, we will learn it for as long as possible. But, if we adhere to what happened to other asteroids in the past, it is very unlikely that in December 2032 there is actually something to be afraid. In addition to the conversations of some brother for Christmas, of course.
Source: Hiper Textual
