Climate change will cause Earth’s temperature to rise

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) presented its Annual Global Update for Decade Climate this Wednesday (17). report, which Provides climate forecasts for the next five yearsreports that at least one of these could be the warmest since global temperatures have been measured.

There is also a 66% probability that the annual average temperature will exceed the critical global warming threshold of 1.5°C in at least one of the years between 2023 and 2027. According to WMO Secretary General Petteri Taalas, this does not mean a permanent extrapolation of the sign specified in the Paris Agreement yet. It’s about Climate Change, but an alarm that it might happen in the future.

The document warns if humanity cannot reduce its net greenhouse gas emissions to zeroRising heat records will continue to occur. Even worse, according to the report, in addition to the overall trend of global warming, the El Niño weather event will also contribute to the eruption of record global temperatures.

Arctic Warming and La Niña

Among the predictions of the WMO report, one that caught the attention of experts was this: Arctic warming will likely be three times the global average. Taalas says the transition to an ice-free world could have direct impacts on health, food security, water resources and the environment.

Although last year the average global temperature was 1.15°C above the 1850-1900 average, this value could have been higher. if not for the cooling effect caused by the La Niña phenomenon in the last three years. Unlike the Niño, this phenomenon ended in March.

The disproportionately higher probability of warming warns of an imbalance in precipitation patterns projected for 2023-2027 compared to 1991-2020. Increased precipitation is expected in the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska and northern Siberia. and reduction in parts of the Amazon and Australia.

So the Paris Agreement went wrong?

The difference between 1.5°C and 3°C global warming means very different scenarios for the future.

Our survival on this planet depends on these few degrees.

Addressing the climate crisis and limiting temperature rise, if #Move on. via https://t.co/X0Shwfcd3n @UNFCCC pic.twitter.com/NUxzA1V18T

—United Nations (@UN) 11 May 2023

Despite the prediction that global warming will exceed 1.5°C in a single year of the next five years, This does not mean that the goals of the Paris Agreement have failed..

The idea of ​​the treaty, signed by almost all nations in the world, is to limit long-term global warming to avoid traumatic effects such as loss of ecosystems. Therefore, exceeding the target by one or two years is not considered a complete failure.