The Soviet probe can greatly affect the Earth in the coming days: this is what you should know

Old woman Soviet probe He is preparing to return to land over the next few days. He will do this at a speed comparable to the speed of the meteorite, and, possibly, with all its integrity untouched by the characteristics with which he was built in due time. This is what most forecasts say, although some experts do not agree at all. It is clear that the probe Cosmos 482 He approaches the ground and that at some moment you cannot withstand more in the orbit in which she remained all these years and He will return to our planet.

It all started with a blog message Marco LangbrookProfessor of spatial situational consciousness at the Technical University of Dorthta (Netherlands). This was indicated that Cosmos 482 perigee He entered into a dangerous descent, which very soon can pull it out of orbit. According to his calculations, this result will take place between May 8 and 12. Immediately after this, the repeated introduction will occur on Earth.

Unfortunately, this will continue to be more often more and more often. It is calculated that in space around 10,000 tons of garbage This can cause damage to satellites or ships, and even when the time comes, exile and fall to the ground. The study of 2022 showed that the probability of what is 10 % probability that a piece of cosmic garbage falls on a person in the next decade.

In short, none of this should surprise us. The problem is that Kosmos 482 has Risk addedSince this Soviet probe was developed to support Exciting conditions of VenusThis field would allow him to cross our atmosphere with almost some kind of break, so that it reaches the Earth with all its honesty. Let’s see what the risk will be; But first, let’s start with the origin of this object.

Where does Kosmos 482 come from?

In 1970, the Soviet Union became the first country to investigate to land on another planet and send information from there. This success was the work of Venera 7, the Soviet probe, which managed to send very useful information about the characteristics of temperature or pressure Venus.

With this basic information, it’s time to launch a more complex project; This, of course, will be baptized as Venus 8. The purpose of this new mission was to also measure the composition of the atmosphere, clouds and geology of the planet. Consequently, this Soviet probe was equipped with instruments such as a solar wind detector or a gamma spectrometer, among other things.

He launched into space on March 27, 1972 and after 3 months that he managed to successfully fulfill his mission. Nevertheless, each probe was sent with a twin to make sure that the task of the project was completed. Just 4 days after the launch of Venera 8, the double Soviet probe was sent exactly the same target. There was a good luck that the first managed to fulfill the mission, then The twins failed immediately.

At that time, the Soviet Union always worked the same way. At first they were placed in parking orbit 4 minutesThe field if the engine failed or burning was not completed, the probes were left in the specified land orbit and received the designation SpaceVenera 8 Twin reached a parking orbit without problems; But once there is a problem with The fourth rocket phase He left the opportunity to escape only for 2 minutes. Without reaching the necessary 4, he could not continue the way to Venus and was baptized as Cosmos 482.

What has been from this Soviet probe since then?

While his twin completed his mission, Cosmos 482 began his journey on the ground in a very elliptical orbit with Large height at the peak, but little in PerigeThis means that its point, closest to the ground, was quite low. Very Near our atmosphere.

In this orbit there were a Soviet probe and a rocket in which he was going to go to Venus. However, three months after the launch, two objects separated. It is assumed that this is the time that had to be spent on arrival at Venus. Therefore, it was originally considered automatism. However, it was found that it was something deliberate. Automatic or not, the fact is that there was no more object in orbit, and two: Rocket and capsule.

Since we saw that his Perigeus was very low, friction caused by the proximity of the Earth’s atmosphere influenced both objects, forcing them to descend more and more. The situation became unstable for the ship that was Destroyed in 1981 Completely crossing the atmosphere of the Earth. Nevertheless, the capsule, much more stable, has been continuing since then.

What is expected now?

Marco Langbrook controlled this Soviet investigation for years and proved that his Periga began to go down faster than usual. Initially, there was an orbit 9 800-210 km. This indicates that his peak was 9,800 kilometers high, but his perigua is much lower, 210 kilometers from the ground. However, on May 6, Langbrook measured orbit 277 x 143 kmWith a peak down 16 km/day And Periga 2 km/dayThe field is also more and faster.

Therefore, the Kosmos 482 capsule may finally cross our atmosphere between May 8 and 12. It is not known exactly where it will be, but, according to estimates, approximately the breadth of 52 degrees northern and 52 degrees to the south. This leaves most of the large cities in the world, but also A lot of the ocean and a lot of desertsThe risk of influence on the settlement is low. This will be known when the fastest part of the descent begins, but in principle, if this happens, the risk will be minimal.

Why is this so bothering some people?

The problem with this Soviet probe is that it has Powerful heat shield (Venus temperature reaches 475 ºC) This will protect her during the return, so she will retain her honesty. Most likely, their parachutes prepared for landing on Venus were damaged in these 50 years. Therefore, this would be bitten, reaching speed 250 kilometers per hour. Taking into account its weight, almost 500 kg, the energy of the blow will be caused A quarter kilogram of dynamiteThe damage field can be detected, but quite important.

It is clear that you must control this Soviet study, although not all experts agree that their risk is so high. Astrophysical and scientific is common Daniel MarinFor example, he considers the influence very probable. According to him, Perigeus has not changed so much to assume that special anxiety. In addition, add two encouraging data. On the one hand, it may be that his term -was damaged in all these years and, therefore, It burns when crossing the atmosphere. And, on the other hand, this is not actually a capsule, but a piece of a rocket, less protected and, therefore, can become small pieces.

Whatever the option, we should not be too afraid of this Soviet investigation. If this becomes a problem, we will find out, but the chances of becoming a danger are especially low.