Financiers predicted the ruble exchange rate for July: 48 per dollar, 53 per euro. The exchange rate of the Russian national currency is now influenced by business operations, the balance between exports and imports.
The strengthening of the ruble is affected by the slow recovery in imports, raw material contracts are being converted into rubles, Anastasia Tarasova, director of the Maerli Capital investment fund, told Izvestia.
“The market needs normal imports and a healthy trade balance. There will be a balance, there will be a dollar at 70-75 rubles and the normal functioning of the economy, ”he said.
The financier also suggested that the Russian Central Bank will lower the key rate, but this is meaningless without imports. Maxim Zagorsky, assistant to the managing director of the KPPS group of companies, added that the regulator's policy of reducing the tariff in the current macroeconomic situation does not have a significant impact on the tariff. He expects 50 rubles per dollar in July, "if there are no cataclysms."
Natalya Milchakova, a leading analyst at Freedom Finance Bank, also does not rule out that if a return to the budget rule is not announced in July, the dollar may briefly fall to 50 rubles, the euro to 53 rubles.
Milchakova predicted that by the end of July, if there are no unexpected events for the Russian national currency, imports will already reach the levels of early March this year.
Author:
karina pardaeva
Source: RB
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